BTC Flow Analysis — April 02, 2021 CHOP
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,666,356 trades
Summary
On Friday, April 02, 2021, Bitcoin ground out a +0.39% gain to $58,950. Net flow: +9 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Whale activity concentrated around 00:24 UTC: 10 bars with average trade sizes 5.9σ above baseline. The 76 BTC of net buying added conviction to the buying move.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.89 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+1,068 BTC), sellers dominated late (-1,059 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +1.19%, Europe -0.36%, US -0.43% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.19% | 1180 BTC | 50% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.36% | -247 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.43% | -924 BTC | 39% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The chop regime was running out of road — 1 day(s) before the market shifted to bull. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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