BTC Flow Analysis — April 26, 2021 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,174,544 trades
Summary
Bitcoin exploded +10.1% higher on Monday, April 26, 2021, closing at $54,001 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 57 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
11 bars of outsized trades (peak 9.6σ) appeared between 00:58–20:20 UTC, with whale flow netting 77 BTC of selling.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+1,628 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-1,571 BTC) in the back half.
A volatile day: 11.4% range from $48,753 to $54,357. Wide ranges like this create opportunities but also traps for directional traders.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +7.61%, Europe +1.63%, US +0.64%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 7.61% | 1396 BTC | 51% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.63% | -437 BTC | 16% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.64% | -902 BTC | 33% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At +2.8σ from the regime mean, this +10.06% move was an outlier within the bear period (avg -0.27%).
Day 2 of a fresh bear regime. The market had just flipped from chop, and the new character was still establishing itself.
Related Days
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