BTC Flow Analysis — May 13, 2021 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,570,506 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $49,671 on May 13, 2021 after traded flat. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,848 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 18 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.2σ), spread across 00:18–20:21 UTC. The 100 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
The 10.8% intraday range ($46,000 – $51,367) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Asia session drove 62% of the day's directional flow, with 2,780 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +2.71%, Europe -0.75%, US -1.64%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 2.71% | -2780 BTC | 62% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.75% | 335 BTC | 7% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.64% | -1403 BTC | 31% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 2 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
The selling streak extended to 8 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
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