BTC Flow Analysis — May 29, 2021 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,169,643 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $34,605 on May 29, 2021 after fell 3.0%. Aggressor-side flow netted -4,095 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 27 bars of outsized trades (8.5σ peak) from 00:22–23:21 UTC, adding 512 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Net selling for 5 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
A volatile day: 10.4% range from $33,633 to $37,339. Wide ranges like this create opportunities but also traps for directional traders.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.86 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Europe session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +1.36%, Europe -3.47%, US -0.81%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.36% | -382 BTC | 9% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -3.47% | -1805 BTC | 44% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.81% | -1907 BTC | 47% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
With -4,095 BTC of net flow (-1.6σ), selling pressure ran above the bear-regime baseline of -1,189 BTC.
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