BTC Flow Analysis — June 27, 2021 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,799,875 trades
Summary
June 27, 2021: Bitcoin surged +7.5%. The 932 BTC of net buying flow at $34,700 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 12 bars of outsized trades (4.8σ peak) from 02:10–18:46 UTC, adding 220 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 68% of the day's net flow (1,744 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
The 8.6% intraday range ($31,973 – $34,749) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 1,049 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 1,981 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +3.10%, Europe -0.56%, US +4.81%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 3.10% | -492 BTC | 19% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.56% | -320 BTC | 13% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 4.81% | 1744 BTC | 68% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At +2.1σ from the regime mean, this +7.49% move was an outlier within the bear period (avg -0.27%).
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