BTC Flow Analysis — July 07, 2021 CHOP
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,041,416 trades
Summary
July 07, 2021: Bitcoin gave back 1.05%. The 782 BTC of net buying flow at $33,862 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 17 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.1σ), spread across 01:30–23:57 UTC. The 995 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.81). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Most of the action happened during Asia hours, which accounted for 62% of the day's net flow (2,052 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 2,094 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 1,312 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +1.43%, Europe +0.30%, US -2.73%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.43% | 2052 BTC | 62% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.30% | -97 BTC | 3% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.73% | -1173 BTC | 35% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -1.05% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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