BTC Flow Analysis — August 03, 2021 BULL
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,379,871 trades
Summary
Bitcoin fell 2.4% on Tuesday, August 03, 2021, closing at $38,207 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 1,751 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Someone was moving size. 9 bars between 01:36–22:18 UTC registered trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.0σ), pushing 342 BTC net selling.
Net selling for 3 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.83 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Asia traders set the tone. 67% of directional flow — 1,169 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -1.41%, Europe -0.32%, US -0.68%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.41% | -1169 BTC | 67% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.32% | -504 BTC | 29% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.68% | -78 BTC | 4% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -2.40% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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