BTC Flow Analysis — October 15, 2021 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,649,137 trades
Summary
October 15, 2021: Bitcoin ripped +7.5% to the upside. The 5,314 BTC of net buying flow at $61,672 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 22 bars of outsized trades (7.3σ peak) from 00:29–17:21 UTC, adding 1,053 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
This was day 3 of consecutive net buying. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
The 10.6% intraday range ($56,850 – $62,933) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.95). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +3.28%, Europe +1.23%, US +2.85%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 3.28% | 3059 BTC | 58% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.23% | 331 BTC | 6% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.85% | 1925 BTC | 36% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Flow conviction was unusually strong: 5,314 BTC net buying, registering at +3.1σ relative to other bull-regime days. This wasn't noise — it was a directional statement.
A statistical outlier: +7.54% return sits at +2.6σ from the bull-regime average of +0.34%. Days like this are rare within this regime.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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