BTC Flow Analysis — November 04, 2021 BULL
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,346,081 trades
Summary
November 04, 2021: Bitcoin lost 2.4%. The 244 BTC of net selling flow at $61,395 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
16 bars of outsized trades (peak 10.0σ) appeared between 00:11–23:18 UTC, with whale flow netting 143 BTC of buying.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 68% of the day's net flow (455 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 162 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 406 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -1.66%, Europe +0.39%, US -1.12%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.66% | 144 BTC | 22% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.39% | 67 BTC | 10% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.12% | -455 BTC | 68% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The -2.39% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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