BTC Flow Analysis — November 27, 2021 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,110,145 trades
Summary
Bitcoin ticked up +1.86% on Saturday, November 27, 2021, closing at $54,721 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 791 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Flow said sell, price said buy. The -0.50 correlation between cumulative flow and return tells the story: someone was absorbing the selling quietly while price rose +1.86%.
The big players were active all day. 17 bars of outsized trades (13.5σ peak) from 03:21–23:52 UTC, adding 390 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-840 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+49 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +1.25%, Europe +1.08%, US -0.47%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.25% | -560 BTC | 55% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.08% | -347 BTC | 34% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.47% | 116 BTC | 11% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +1.86% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
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