BTC Flow Analysis — November 28, 2021 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,253,408 trades
Summary
November 28, 2021: Bitcoin climbed +4.7%. The 878 BTC of net buying flow at $57,275 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 15 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 12.0σ) between 00:45–23:56 UTC. Whale flow netted 247 BTC of selling.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 94% of the day's net flow (938 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.93 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — sellers pushed 41 BTC through the morning, then buyers flipped the script with 919 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.37%, Europe -0.44%, US +5.53%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.37% | -37 BTC | 4% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.44% | -22 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 5.53% | 938 BTC | 94% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +4.68% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
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