BTC Flow Analysis — November 29, 2021 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,349,625 trades
Summary
November 29, 2021: Bitcoin edged higher (+0.88%). The 1,085 BTC of net selling flow at $57,776 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
A textbook absorption day. Sellers hit the bid aggressively (correlation between cumulative flow and price: -0.73), but price still climbed +0.88%. The buying was passive — limit orders soaking up the supply.
The big players were active all day. 24 bars of outsized trades (9.0σ peak) from 01:43–19:33 UTC, adding 454 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Most of the action happened during US hours, which accounted for 67% of the day's net flow (1,007 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.42%, Europe -0.38%, US +0.84%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.42% | 209 BTC | 14% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.38% | -287 BTC | 19% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.84% | -1007 BTC | 67% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A +0.88% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
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