BTC Flow Analysis — December 03, 2021 BEAR
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,865,063 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $53,601 on December 03, 2021 after plunged 5.1%. Aggressor-side flow netted -4,353 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 22 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 10.4σ), spread across 02:13–20:33 UTC. The 648 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 5 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
From $51,680 to $57,600 — a 10.5% range that forced both bulls and bears to respect the volatility.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.95 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 93% of the day's directional flow, with 4,321 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.44%, Europe +0.23%, US -5.74%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.44% | -190 BTC | 4% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.23% | 157 BTC | 3% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -5.74% | -4321 BTC | 93% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
With -4,353 BTC of net flow (-1.7σ), selling pressure ran above the bear-regime baseline of -1,189 BTC.
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