BTC Flow Analysis — December 04, 2021 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,362,771 trades
Summary
Bitcoin dropped 8.3% in a sharp selloff on Saturday, December 04, 2021, closing at $49,152 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 8,450 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 18 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.9σ), spread across 00:36–20:34 UTC. The 799 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A volatile day: 22.1% range from $42,000 to $53,859. Wide ranges like this create opportunities but also traps for directional traders.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Asia traders set the tone. 71% of directional flow — 5,994 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -11.86%, Europe +0.31%, US +3.73%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -11.86% | -5994 BTC | 71% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.31% | -1706 BTC | 20% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 3.73% | -750 BTC | 9% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -3.2σ from the bear-regime average, this was one of the most intense selling days in the period — 8,450 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
Even by bear-regime standards, -8.30% was extreme — -2.2σ from the -0.27% average. This wasn't a normal bear day.
The selling streak extended to 6 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Related Days
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