BTC Flow Analysis — December 12, 2021 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 863,605 trades
Summary
December 12, 2021: Bitcoin ground out a +1.34% gain. The 514 BTC of net buying flow at $50,054 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 21 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.7σ) between 00:24–23:30 UTC. Whale flow netted 39 BTC of selling.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.82 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Most of the action happened during Asia hours, which accounted for 70% of the day's net flow (360 BTC buying). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -0.18%, Europe +1.00%, US +0.52%. Europe stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.18% | 360 BTC | 70% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.00% | 57 BTC | 11% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.52% | 97 BTC | 19% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The +1.34% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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