BTC Flow Analysis — January 03, 2022 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 885,624 trades
Summary
On Monday, January 03, 2022, Bitcoin drifted lower (-1.78%) to $46,446. Net flow: -613 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 30 bars of outsized trades (9.2σ peak) from 00:46–23:02 UTC, adding 42 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.85). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 82% of the net flow (603 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+22 BTC), sellers dominated late (-634 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -0.50%, Europe +0.22%, US -1.50% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.50% | 63 BTC | 8% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.22% | -72 BTC | 10% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.50% | -603 BTC | 82% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The -1.78% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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