BTC Flow Analysis — January 16, 2022 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 732,171 trades
Summary
Bitcoin went nowhere on Sunday, January 16, 2022, closing at $43,072 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 498 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 31 bars of outsized trades (10.0σ peak) from 02:08–23:26 UTC, adding 196 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-504 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+6 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Europe traders set the tone. 73% of directional flow — 517 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia +0.27%, Europe -0.17%, US -0.13%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.27% | -85 BTC | 12% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.17% | -517 BTC | 73% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.13% | 104 BTC | 15% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The -0.03% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
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