BTC Flow Analysis — February 15, 2022 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 990,694 trades
Summary
Bitcoin rallied +4.7% on Tuesday, February 15, 2022, closing at $44,545 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 265 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Flow said sell, price said buy. The -0.31 correlation between cumulative flow and return tells the story: someone was absorbing the selling quietly while price rose +4.72%.
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 20 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.6σ), spread across 00:17–22:05 UTC. The 169 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-47 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+312 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 67% of directional flow — 477 BTC of buying — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +2.72%, Europe +1.26%, US +0.69%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 2.72% | -224 BTC | 31% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.26% | 12 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.69% | 477 BTC | 67% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a chop-regime day. The +4.72% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.10%.
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