BTC Flow Analysis — March 03, 2022 BULL
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,289,320 trades
Summary
Bitcoin sold off -3.3% on Thursday, March 03, 2022, closing at $42,454 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 2,064 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 29 bars of outsized trades (6.8σ peak) from 00:47–22:50 UTC, adding 728 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.93). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 91% of directional flow — 2,119 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -0.95%, Europe +1.17%, US -3.49%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.95% | -80 BTC | 3% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.17% | 136 BTC | 6% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -3.49% | -2119 BTC | 91% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bull — and this day didn't deviate. A -3.28% return against a regime average of +0.34%.
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