BTC Flow Analysis — March 04, 2022 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,465,066 trades
Summary
Bitcoin crashed -7.8% on Friday, March 04, 2022, closing at $39,149 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,319 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 18 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.1σ) between 00:17–22:58 UTC. Whale flow netted 132 BTC of buying.
Day 3 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
The 9.4% intraday range ($38,550 – $42,527) tells the story of a market in flux. Both sides had their moments.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.95). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -2.40%, Europe -0.29%, US -5.25%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -2.40% | -1422 BTC | 43% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.29% | -57 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -5.25% | -1840 BTC | 55% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -2.9σ from the regime mean, this -7.79% move was an outlier within the bull period (avg +0.34%).
Net flow of -3,319 BTC was elevated at -2.0σ vs the bull-regime average of -386 BTC.
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