BTC Flow Analysis — March 14, 2022 CHOP
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,114,899 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $39,671 on March 14, 2022 after exploded 5.0% higher. Aggressor-side flow netted +1,348 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 17 bars of outsized trades (9.1σ peak) from 00:16–23:57 UTC, adding 529 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.84 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +3.45%, Europe -0.52%, US +2.05%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 3.45% | 609 BTC | 37% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.52% | -147 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.05% | 885 BTC | 54% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At +2.1σ from the regime mean, this +5.01% move was an outlier within the chop period (avg +0.10%).
Day 1 of a fresh chop regime. The market had just flipped from bull, and the new character was still establishing itself.
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