BTC Flow Analysis — April 05, 2022 BULL
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,046,080 trades
Summary
On Tuesday, April 05, 2022, Bitcoin lost 2.3% to $45,498. Net flow: -978 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 31 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.7σ), spread across 00:55–23:27 UTC. The 53 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.86). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 91% of the net flow (1,084 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+101 BTC), sellers dominated late (-1,079 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.28%, Europe -0.61%, US -2.00% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.28% | -2 BTC | 0% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.61% | 108 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.00% | -1084 BTC | 91% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The bull regime was running out of road — 2 day(s) before the market shifted to chop. The transition was already underway in hindsight.
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