BTC Flow Analysis — May 15, 2022 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,016,769 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $31,329 on May 15, 2022 after climbed 4.1%. Aggressor-side flow netted +2,051 BTC, favoring buyers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Whale activity concentrated around 00:11 UTC: 10 bars with average trade sizes 4.4σ above baseline. The 246 BTC of net buying added conviction to the buying move.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.95 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 61% of the day's directional flow, with 1,261 BTC of net buying. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.87%, Europe +1.19%, US +3.80%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.87% | 22 BTC | 1% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.19% | 768 BTC | 37% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 3.80% | 1261 BTC | 61% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a bear-regime day. The +4.13% return was consistent with the period's average of -0.27%.
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