BTC Flow Analysis — June 12, 2022 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,451,271 trades
Summary
Bitcoin plunged -6.5% on Sunday, June 12, 2022, closing at $26,575 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 5,397 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 20 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.6σ), spread across 01:58–23:59 UTC. The 169 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 7 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -2.74%, Europe -1.20%, US -2.70%. Asia led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -2.74% | -2825 BTC | 52% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.20% | -93 BTC | 2% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.70% | -2479 BTC | 46% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Net selling hit 5,397 BTC, landing -3.6σ outside the chop-regime norm. Days with this level of one-sided flow have historically marked inflection points within the regime.
A statistical outlier: -6.51% return sits at -2.8σ from the chop-regime average of +0.10%. Days like this are rare within this regime.
In retrospect, the chop regime was ending. BEAR conditions were 0 day(s) away.
Related Days
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