BTC Flow Analysis — June 16, 2022 BEAR
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,690,477 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $20,401 on June 16, 2022 after crashed 9.7%. Aggressor-side flow netted -3,576 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 32 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.4σ), spread across 00:24–23:55 UTC. The 637 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 11 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
From $20,232 to $22,996 — a 12.2% range that forced both bulls and bears to respect the volatility.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.97). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -3.63%, Europe -3.41%, US -2.95%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -3.63% | -810 BTC | 23% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -3.41% | -1098 BTC | 31% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -2.95% | -1668 BTC | 47% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Even by bear-regime standards, -9.66% was extreme — -2.6σ from the -0.27% average. This wasn't a normal bear day.
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