BTC Flow Analysis — July 16, 2022 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,723,401 trades
Summary
On Saturday, July 16, 2022, Bitcoin edged higher (+1.75%) to $21,196. Net flow: +1,439 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.3σ), spread across 00:33–23:31 UTC. The 694 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.98). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 65% of the net flow (1,466 BTC buying).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-373 BTC), buyers dominated late (+1,812 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -1.36%, Europe +1.43%, US +1.71% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.36% | -412 BTC | 18% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.43% | 386 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.71% | 1466 BTC | 65% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 3 day(s) into a new chop regime, having transitioned from bear. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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