BTC Flow Analysis — August 15, 2022 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,488,466 trades
Summary
August 15, 2022: Bitcoin slipped 0.87%. The 1,971 BTC of net selling flow at $24,095 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 14 bars of outsized trades (12.3σ peak) from 01:13–23:58 UTC, adding 684 BTC of selling pressure on top of the broader selling flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.93 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Most of the action happened during Asia hours, which accounted for 64% of the day's net flow (1,774 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Breaking it down by session: Asia -1.14%, Europe +0.54%, US -0.25%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.14% | -1774 BTC | 64% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.54% | 405 BTC | 15% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.25% | -601 BTC | 22% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Volume ran hot: 242,540 BTC traded, +2.2σ above the bull-regime average. High volume days tend to carry more signal.
The selling streak extended to 3 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
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