BTC Flow Analysis — September 14, 2022 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,313,052 trades
Summary
On Wednesday, September 14, 2022, Bitcoin went nowhere to $20,227. Net flow: -1,485 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 13 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 14.5σ) between 00:28–22:40 UTC. Whale flow netted 48 BTC of buying.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.83 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia +0.35%, Europe +0.33%, US -0.41% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.35% | 776 BTC | 26% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.33% | -763 BTC | 25% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.41% | -1498 BTC | 49% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Volume ran hot: 340,826 BTC traded, +2.3σ above the bear-regime average. High volume days tend to carry more signal.
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