BTC Flow Analysis — September 19, 2022 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 6,820,580 trades
Summary
On Monday, September 19, 2022, Bitcoin edged higher (+0.62%) to $19,537. Net flow: -2,030 BTC — sellers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 11 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.4σ), spread across 01:03–15:34 UTC. The 172 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 6 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out Asia and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 64% of the net flow (4,510 BTC selling).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-4,177 BTC), buyers dominated late (+2,148 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -4.89%, Europe +3.46%, US +2.25% — with Asia doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -4.89% | -4510 BTC | 64% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 3.46% | -28 BTC | 0% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.25% | 2508 BTC | 36% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Unusually heavy volume at 380,512 BTC — +2.6σ above the bear-regime baseline. The market was paying attention.
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