BTC Flow Analysis — October 02, 2022 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,320,217 trades
Summary
Bitcoin gave back 1.32% on Sunday, October 02, 2022, closing at $19,057 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 868 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Someone was moving size. 7 bars between 01:52–22:42 UTC registered trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 4.7σ), pushing 114 BTC net selling.
This was day 4 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.90). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Europe traders set the tone. 91% of directional flow — 787 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia -0.14%, Europe -0.63%, US -0.55%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.14% | -10 BTC | 1% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.63% | -787 BTC | 91% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.55% | -71 BTC | 8% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -1.32% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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