BTC Flow Analysis — October 09, 2022 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 2,833,704 trades
Summary
October 09, 2022: Bitcoin traded flat. The 432 BTC of net buying flow at $19,439 told a clear story — buyers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Large-player activity detected: 15 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 5.5σ) between 00:47–21:07 UTC. Whale flow netted 262 BTC of selling.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.90). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 598 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 166 BTC in the afternoon.
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia -0.04%, Europe +0.30%, US -0.14% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.04% | 158 BTC | 19% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.30% | 468 BTC | 57% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.14% | -194 BTC | 24% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
In retrospect, the chop regime was ending. BEAR conditions were 0 day(s) away.
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