BTC Flow Analysis — October 12, 2022 BEAR
Wednesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,556,597 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $19,156 on October 12, 2022 after ground out a 0.50% gain. Aggressor-side flow netted -609 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 14 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.7σ), spread across 00:10–19:05 UTC. The 216 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Net selling for 3 straight days. Whether it's institutional positioning or sentiment-driven, the directional bias was persistent.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session drove 64% of the day's directional flow, with 387 BTC of net selling. The other two sessions were comparatively quiet.
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia +0.27%, Europe +0.02%, US +0.21% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.27% | -29 BTC | 5% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.02% | -193 BTC | 32% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.21% | -387 BTC | 64% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a bear regime (day 3), with the chop regime barely in the rearview mirror.
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