BTC Flow Analysis — October 18, 2022 BEAR
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,588,482 trades
Summary
October 18, 2022: Bitcoin gave back 1.13%. The 1,357 BTC of net selling flow at $19,327 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
14 bars of outsized trades (peak 7.3σ) appeared between 04:59–20:01 UTC, with whale flow netting 453 BTC of buying.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.92). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
A tale of two halves — buyers pushed 359 BTC through the morning, then sellers flipped the script with 1,716 BTC in the afternoon.
Breaking it down by session: Asia +0.60%, Europe -0.63%, US -1.11%. US stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.60% | 975 BTC | 29% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.63% | -398 BTC | 12% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.11% | -1933 BTC | 58% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -1.13% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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