BTC Flow Analysis — October 25, 2022 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,214,687 trades
Summary
On Tuesday, October 25, 2022, Bitcoin climbed +3.9% to $20,080. Net flow: +331 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 22 bars of outsized trades (9.2σ peak) from 05:10–17:12 UTC, adding 825 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.81 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-694 BTC), buyers dominated late (+1,025 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -0.12%, Europe +0.89%, US +3.09% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.12% | -465 BTC | 37% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.89% | 573 BTC | 45% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 3.09% | 223 BTC | 18% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This was near the start of a chop regime (day 2), with the bear regime barely in the rearview mirror.
Volume ran hot: 326,371 BTC traded, +3.0σ above the chop-regime average. High volume days tend to carry more signal.
Related Days
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