BTC Flow Analysis — November 11, 2022 BEAR
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 9,900,073 trades
Summary
Bitcoin lost 3.0% on Friday, November 11, 2022, closing at $17,070 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 1,277 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
17 bars of outsized trades (peak 4.0σ) appeared between 01:20–23:15 UTC, with whale flow netting 440 BTC of selling.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+1,677 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-401 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -1.13%, Europe -0.58%, US -1.35%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -1.13% | 1621 BTC | 58% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.58% | 409 BTC | 15% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.35% | -754 BTC | 27% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The market was 3 day(s) into a new bear regime, having transitioned from chop. Early-regime days often carry residual momentum from the prior period.
Volume ran hot: 393,553 BTC traded, +2.7σ above the bear-regime average. High volume days tend to carry more signal.
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