BTC Flow Analysis — November 20, 2022 BEAR
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,557,344 trades
Summary
Bitcoin closed at $16,280 on November 20, 2022 after sold off 2.5%. Aggressor-side flow netted -2,924 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 38 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.7σ), spread across 01:57–23:39 UTC. The 2,102 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 9 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.87). Aggressor-side selling translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
The US session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia +0.13%, Europe -0.82%, US -1.83%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.13% | -245 BTC | 8% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.82% | -1608 BTC | 55% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.83% | -1071 BTC | 37% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A -2.52% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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