BTC Flow Analysis — December 15, 2022 CHOP
Thursday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 4,789,226 trades
Summary
Bitcoin fell 2.5% on Thursday, December 15, 2022, closing at $17,356 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 3,315 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 44 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.2σ), spread across 00:11–23:53 UTC. The 1,172 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.98 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.63%, Europe -1.04%, US -0.85%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.63% | -809 BTC | 24% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -1.04% | -1430 BTC | 43% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.85% | -1076 BTC | 32% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -2.2σ from the chop-regime average, this was one of the most intense selling days in the period — 3,315 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
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