BTC Flow Analysis — December 20, 2022 CHOP
Tuesday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 5,945,803 trades
Summary
December 20, 2022: Bitcoin climbed +2.8%. The 374 BTC of net selling flow at $16,896 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Whale activity concentrated around 00:52 UTC: 10 bars with average trade sizes 4.8σ above baseline. The 37 BTC of net selling added conviction to the selling move.
This was day 7 of consecutive net selling. Multi-day streaks reflect sustained conviction, not noise.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia +2.21%, Europe -0.04%, US +0.60%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 2.21% | 249 BTC | 29% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.04% | -391 BTC | 45% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.60% | -233 BTC | 27% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Unusually heavy volume at 248,809 BTC — +2.2σ above the chop-regime baseline. The market was paying attention.
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