BTC Flow Analysis — January 30, 2023 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 7,790,224 trades
Summary
Bitcoin fell 3.9% on Monday, January 30, 2023, closing at $22,826 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 4,213 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 20 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.5σ), spread across 01:16–19:10 UTC. The 1,281 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.98 correlation between cumulative flow and price means selling pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia -0.42%, Europe -2.48%, US -1.00%. Europe led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.42% | -880 BTC | 21% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -2.48% | -2496 BTC | 59% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -1.00% | -837 BTC | 20% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At -2.5σ from the bull-regime average, this was one of the most intense selling days in the period — 4,213 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
Volume ran hot: 302,406 BTC traded, +3.0σ above the bull-regime average. High volume days tend to carry more signal.
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