Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 591,533 trades
July 02, 2023: Bitcoin went nowhere. The 2,026 BTC of net selling flow at $30,617 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 8.1σ), spread across 00:29–23:40 UTC. The 138 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
All three sessions posted small moves: Asia -0.24%, Europe +0.02%, US +0.32% — a balanced day with no clear regional driver.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.24% | -834 BTC | 41% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.02% | -433 BTC | 21% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.32% | -759 BTC | 37% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
In retrospect, the bull regime was ending. CHOP conditions were 3 day(s) away.
The selling streak extended to 11 days. Streaks this long suggest a structural flow, not just intraday traders flipping positions.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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