BTC Flow Analysis — October 01, 2023 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 883,593 trades
Summary
On Sunday, October 01, 2023, Bitcoin rallied +3.8% to $27,993. Net flow: +1,029 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 30 bars of outsized trades (9.7σ peak) from 00:35–23:16 UTC, adding 46 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.91). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 76% of the net flow (784 BTC buying).
Across sessions: Asia +0.54%, Europe +0.31%, US +2.94% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.54% | 143 BTC | 14% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.31% | 102 BTC | 10% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.94% | 784 BTC | 76% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Nothing unusual for a chop-regime day. The +3.82% return was consistent with the period's average of +0.10%.
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