BTC Flow Analysis — October 14, 2023 CHOP
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 517,837 trades
Summary
October 14, 2023: Bitcoin finished near unchanged (-0.04%). The 1,660 BTC of net selling flow at $26,852 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.5σ), spread across 00:12–19:32 UTC. The 501 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
Day 8 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
An unusually tight range: 0.75% from high to low. Compression days like this tend to resolve with a larger move in the days that follow.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Most of the action happened during Asia hours, which accounted for 75% of the day's net flow (1,238 BTC selling). The rest of the day was a footnote.
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia +0.03%, Europe +0.14%, US -0.20%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.03% | -1238 BTC | 75% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.14% | -146 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | -0.20% | -276 BTC | 17% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The -0.04% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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