BTC Flow Analysis — October 15, 2023 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 682,942 trades
Summary
Bitcoin ground out a +1.12% gain on Sunday, October 15, 2023, closing at $27,154 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 331 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 32 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 9.9σ), spread across 00:12–22:36 UTC. The 184 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to sellers (-320 BTC), but buyers erased that and then some (+651 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 81% of directional flow — 436 BTC of buying — came from that single session.
Session returns: Asia +0.11%, Europe -0.08%, US +1.09%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.11% | -78 BTC | 14% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.08% | -28 BTC | 5% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.09% | 436 BTC | 81% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The +1.12% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
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