Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 784,498 trades
Bitcoin closed at $36,568 on November 18, 2023 after went nowhere. Aggressor-side flow netted -899 BTC, favoring sellers.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Whale-sized trades (21 bars above 3σ, peak 7.4σ) pushed 213 BTC of net buying between 03:43–22:24 UTC — while price went the other way. Possible accumulation, possible pain.
Flow and price told different stories (correlation: -0.38). Aggressor-side flow leaned one way but price barely moved — the opposing side matched it passively.
Day 3 of unbroken net selling. The market had a directional lean and wasn't letting go.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
The Asia session posted the largest move. Full breakdown: Asia -0.54%, Europe +0.04%, US +0.38%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.54% | -346 BTC | 38% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.04% | -152 BTC | 17% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.38% | -402 BTC | 45% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
This day sat within a bull regime. The -0.13% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
Days with similar flow patterns and market conditions.
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