BTC Flow Analysis — March 04, 2024 BULL
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,887,853 trades
Summary
Bitcoin surged +8.1% on Monday, March 04, 2024, closing at $68,246 as buyers controlled aggregate flow with 5,803 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 21 bars of outsized trades (4.6σ peak) from 00:46–23:29 UTC, adding 193 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
From $62,300 to $68,499 — a 9.8% range that forced both bulls and bears to respect the volatility.
Flow and price moved in lockstep (correlation: 0.98). Aggressor-side buying translated directly into price movement with minimal resistance.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Session returns: Asia +1.51%, Europe +1.63%, US +4.81%. US led the move.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 1.51% | 1515 BTC | 26% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.63% | 2038 BTC | 35% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 4.81% | 2251 BTC | 39% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
At +3.4σ from the bull-regime average, this was one of the most intense buying days in the period — 5,803 BTC of net pressure overwhelmed the typical flow pattern.
Even by bull-regime standards, +8.13% was extreme — +2.8σ from the +0.34% average. This wasn't a normal bull day.
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