BTC Flow Analysis — March 15, 2024 BULL
Friday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 3,904,445 trades
Summary
March 15, 2024: Bitcoin lost 2.6%. The 3,645 BTC of net selling flow at $69,500 told a clear story — sellers were in charge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player selling throughout the day. 21 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.9σ), spread across 00:26–23:59 UTC. The 60 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's selling bias.
A volatile day: 9.6% range from $65,600 to $72,420. Wide ranges like this create opportunities but also traps for directional traders.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Breaking it down by session: Asia -4.12%, Europe +0.04%, US +1.50%. Asia stood out.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -4.12% | -1930 BTC | 53% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.04% | -1315 BTC | 36% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 1.50% | -400 BTC | 11% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
The 3,645 BTC of net selling was extreme by any measure (-2.1σ vs bull-regime average). The market's typical flow balance broke down.
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