BTC Flow Analysis — May 04, 2024 BEAR
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,113,509 trades
Summary
On Saturday, May 04, 2024, Bitcoin ticked up +1.61% to $63,892. Net flow: +974 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 19 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 7.4σ), spread across 01:09–23:59 UTC. The 410 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
Price followed flow faithfully (correlation: 0.91). When you see this level of alignment, it means one side is in control and the other isn't even fighting.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Buyers led early (+1,053 BTC), sellers dominated late (-79 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.12%, Europe +1.22%, US +0.25% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.12% | 398 BTC | 41% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 1.22% | 430 BTC | 44% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.25% | 146 BTC | 15% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
Market conditions were bear — and this day didn't deviate. A +1.61% return against a regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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