BTC Flow Analysis — May 25, 2024 BULL
Saturday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 703,803 trades
Summary
Bitcoin ticked up +1.08% on Saturday, May 25, 2024, closing at $69,291 as sellers controlled aggregate flow with 426 BTC of net pressure.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Flow said sell, price said buy. The -0.33 correlation between cumulative flow and return tells the story: someone was absorbing the selling quietly while price rose +1.08%.
Whale-sized trades (25 bars above 3σ, peak 7.9σ) pushed 121 BTC of net buying between 02:13–23:59 UTC — while price went the other way. Possible accumulation, possible pain.
Flow reversed midday. The first 12 hours belonged to buyers (+75 BTC), but sellers erased that and then some (-501 BTC) in the back half.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
US traders set the tone. 74% of directional flow — 417 BTC of selling — came from that single session.
Session returns were muted across the board: Asia +0.30%, Europe +0.40%, US +0.38%.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.30% | 69 BTC | 12% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.40% | -79 BTC | 14% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.38% | -417 BTC | 74% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bull regime. The +1.08% return tracked the regime average of +0.34%.
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