BTC Flow Analysis — July 01, 2024 BEAR
Monday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,461,508 trades
Summary
On Monday, July 01, 2024, Bitcoin went nowhere to $62,900. Net flow: +230 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
The big players were active all day. 18 bars of outsized trades (8.1σ peak) from 01:55–23:26 UTC, adding 261 BTC of buying pressure on top of the broader buying flow.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.84 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-314 BTC), buyers dominated late (+544 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia +0.81%, Europe -0.94%, US +0.34% — with Europe doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | 0.81% | 87 BTC | 11% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | -0.94% | -297 BTC | 36% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 0.34% | 440 BTC | 53% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a bear regime. The +0.20% return tracked the regime average of -0.27%.
Related Days
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