BTC Flow Analysis — July 21, 2024 CHOP
Sunday · Minute-level BTC order flow from Binance · 1,322,942 trades
Summary
On Sunday, July 21, 2024, Bitcoin ground out a +1.53% gain to $68,165. Net flow: +1,005 BTC — buyers had the edge.
BTC price (blue) and trading volume (cyan bars) per minute. Session shading: Asia (gold 00-08 UTC), Europe (green 08-14), US (red 14-00).
Flow Analysis
Sustained large-player buying throughout the day. 27 bars with trade sizes 3σ+ above normal (peak: 6.3σ), spread across 00:11–23:47 UTC. The 292 BTC of whale flow reinforced the day's buying bias.
A clean, flow-driven day. The 0.89 correlation between cumulative flow and price means buying pressure was the dominant force — no hidden passive flow muddying the signal.
Cumulative buying pressure (purple, left axis) vs cumulative price return (yellow, right axis). When these diverge, flow and price are telling different stories.
Session Breakdown
Strip out US and the day would look flat. That session alone contributed 83% of the net flow (1,254 BTC buying).
Morning and afternoon traded like two different markets. Sellers led early (-175 BTC), buyers dominated late (+1,180 BTC).
Across sessions: Asia -0.65%, Europe +0.09%, US +2.11% — with US doing the heavy lifting.
| Session | Hours (UTC) | Return | Net Flow | Flow Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | 00:00 - 08:00 | -0.65% | -115 BTC | 8% |
| Europe | 08:00 - 14:00 | 0.09% | -134 BTC | 9% |
| US | 14:00 - 00:00 | 2.11% | 1254 BTC | 83% |
Per-minute volume split by aggressor side. Green = actively bought at the asking price. Red = actively sold at the bid price.
Regime Context
This day sat within a chop regime. The +1.53% return tracked the regime average of +0.10%.
Related Days
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